The point of this story is to illustrate that the Dunning-Kruger effect has nothing to do with human psychology. It is a statistical artifact — an example of autocorrelation hiding in plain sight.

What’s interesting is how long it took for researchers to realize the flaw in Dunning and Kruger’s analysis. Dunning and Kruger published their results in 1999. But it took until 2016 for the mistake to be fully understood. To my knowledge, Edward Nuhfer and colleagues were the first to exhaustively debunk the Dunning-Kruger effect. (See their joint papers in 2016 and 2017.) In 2020, Gilles Gignac and Marcin Zajenkowski published a similar critique.

The Dunning-Kruger Effect is Autocorrelation – Economics from the Top Down

Lovecraft + lohkoketju = The Gig Economy

• Lista puhelinmyyjien numeroista – voipi blokata ne sitten hyväksi katsomallaan tavalla kännykästä (via @suviko)
• Monty Python to reunite in New York for troupe's 40th anniversary – jahas
• Super Mario Bros. soundboard/synth (flash) –
• Links posted on Twitter by osulop – Topsy –
• Puhelimeen asennettava Yellix hakee FB-frendin tiedot kun se soittaa – via Whiz

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• Dvb-tekstityksiä: ohjelma muuttaa Topfieldin sup-tiedoston dvdauthorin ymmärtämään spumux.xml-muotoon –
• A History of Sampling, mp3 mixtape –
• 19 of your favorite links from journalism Twitter users –
• Mosh-It – OS X ja Nokia juttelemaan keskenään, vaikuttaa kiinnostavalta
• Nisäkäsnimistö –

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• Nokia Rocks the World: The Phone King's Plan to Redefine Its Business (Fast Company) –
• How can New York City hot dog vendors afford to pay half a million dollars in rent? (Slate) – paras kaupunki maailmassa!
• Kontakt Player – free download –
• Disable Postfix on Mac OSX – oli jotain ihme häikkää interfacejen ja kaatuilun kanssa, joten tapoin koko höskän
• How to Share Directories over NFS with Mac OS X – ei ole Leopardissa enää kovin vaikeaa

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• Breakfast Can Wait. The Day’s First Stop Is Online (NY Times) –
• Malcolm Gladwell: Who says big ideas are rare? –
• Brian Eno: The Studio As Compositional Tool (1979) – The effect of recording is that it takes music out of the time dimension and puts it in the space dimension. As soon as you do that, you're in a position of being able to listen again and again to a performance, to become familiar with details you most certainly had missed the first time through, and to become very fond of details that weren't intended by the composer or the musicians.
• Simpanssit ja ihmiset jakavat ison osan geeneistään, mutta se ei tee meistä samanlaisia – Taylor sets out to argue that it is ‘as wrong as it is misguided’ to ‘exaggerate the narrowness of the gap between chimpanzees and ourselves’: ‘It plays into the hands of our natural propensity to anthropomorphise our pets and other animals, and even our inanimate possessions, and it has allowed us to distort what the science is trying to tell us.’ His aim is ‘to set the record straight and restore chimpanzees to arm’s length’.
• Tweet Blocker – Cleaning up the Twitterverse – otetaas kokeiluun

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• Errol Morris: Seven Lies About Lying – Lying is the opposite of telling the truth. Lying is telling a falsehood. Lying leads to narrative inconsistencies. Lying can never be justified. Lying will be punished. Lying is avoidable. Lying is a threat to the truth.
• Felicia Day's Road To Web Stardom (Forbes) – "My work in mainstream TV and movies definitely helps me pay the bills," says Day. "But I get to do what I want creatively at the same time." She likes that her support comes from companies like Microsoft and Sprint rather than from a studio.
• Madonnan levymyynti Suomessa –
• Mimic Windows' SubRip or VobSub Resync conversion (macosxhints) –
• Synkkaa tiedostot Nokia <-> Mac – inasen kömpelö systeemi puhelinpuolella, mutta ovatpahan saatavilla

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• Tätä en tiennyt: avaruussukkula & miehistö räjäytetään, jos se eksyy reitiltä (Pop Mech) – Each time the space shuttle rises from its launchpad at Cape Canaveral, Fla., an Air Force officer waits anxiously for the first 2 minutes to pass safely. If the spaceship were to veer off course and endanger a populated area, this range safety officer would bear the terrible responsibility of flipping a pair of switches under a stenciled panel reading “Flight Termination.” The first switch arms explosives on the shuttle’s two solid rocket boosters. Flipping the second switch would detonate them, destroying the shuttle and crew.
• Raytheon KillerBee UAV – I for one welcome our new robot overlords.
• Jay-Z paikkasi MCA:ta taannoisella Beastie Boys -keikalla (video) – surkea korvaaja, kuten kuuluu ja näkyy
• Red Remover – hauska pieni flash-puzzle
• Toggle Bluetooth setting based on power source (macosxhints.com) –
• How Different Groups Spend Their Day – Interactive Graphic (NY Times) – Metodi epäilyttää, mutta tuotos törkeän hieno, kuten tavallista.

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• Radovan Karadzic’s New-Age Adventure (NYT Mag) – Tarina Karadzicin myöhemmistä vaiheista. "I had the intention of developing a method in which Dabic could heal our patients, holding one hand under the testicles and one on top of the testicles," Bojovic explained. Unfortunately for infertile Serbs, Dabic’s arrest ended the testicle experiments.
• Interview with Rob Janoff, designer of the Apple logo – via http://twitter.com/banton/status/3102777572
• Toimittajan tarkistuslista virheiden välttämiseen – via http://twitter.com/jackshafer/status/3089588464
• Madonna – Sex (Full Book) –
• Animals Masturbating: A YouTube Gallery (Slate) –

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• Soviet Russian Album Covers – wau
• 22 Free Fonts from MyFont –
• What Would Fair Use Look Like in an Online Era? – 1. The presence and quality of the link.
  2. Does the new format provide the opportunity for democratic engagement that is unavailable at the original provider?
  3. Courts should consider this balance: between the added value of information (provided by the so-called appropriator) and amount of appropriation of the “original” work.
  4. What is the overall purpose and character of the appropriating organization?
• Eddie Izzard Helsingissä 16.12.2009 – Stripped Sexie ei ainakaan lätyllä ole ees mikään ihmeellinen Helsingissä nähdään Stripped eikä Sexie, duh) mutta COME ON, IT’S FREAKIN’ EDDIE I!
• Puhelintarjonnan rajoituspalvelu –

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